Current risks in the Rother Catchment
The graph below illustrates the combined results of the 2020 BRAVA assessment for all 56 wastewater systems in the Rother river basin catchment. It shows how many wastewater systems have a risk under each of the 14 planning objectives. For example, for the risk of internal flooding, 50 wastewater systems are in band 0 (not significant), none are in band 1 (moderately significant), 4 in band 2 (very significant) and 2 were ‘not flagged’ for inclusion (i.e. screened out at the risk based catchment screening stage of the DWMP).
The graph illustrates that nutrients, pollution, storm overflows and good ecological status/potential are the main concerns in this river basin based on the BRAVA results for 2020. This is illustrated by the brown bars being the highest for planning objectives 2, 5, 9 and 11.
The wastewater systems with the highest number of planning objectives in band 2 (very significant) are Rye and Fairlight, each with 5 objectives in band 2. Camber, Quickbourne Lane Northam, Robertsbridge and Ticehurst each have 4 band 2 risks. Dymchurch, Guestling Green, Iden, New Romney, Sedlescombe, Tenterden and Woodchurch have 3 planning objectives in band 2. All other wastewater systems have fewer risks.
The specific risks and the causes of risk for each of the wastewater systems are explained in the summary of the problem characterisation for each system. These are available to download from the link next to the name of each system in the table below.
Future risks in the Rother Catchment
The 2050 BRAVA results help us to identify the future challenges for drainage and wastewater management in the Rother river basin catchment. These are:
There are several wastewater catchments where new homes, businesses, roads and other infrastructure is planned. The main areas identified for potential new development in the Rother catchment are:
The BRAVA results show that the additional homes and businesses will increase the risks of non-compliance with our Dry Weather Flow (DWF) permits from the Environment Agency in 11 of the 56 wastewater systems, including Rye, Lydd, Ticehurst, Hawkhurst North, Westfield, Hawkhurst South, Hamstreet and Woodchurch. This means further investment will be needed in the future to increase the capacity of our treatment works to accommodate the new homes and businesses.
The additional development may mean that our current permits for wastewater treatment quality might be exceeded by 2050 without further investment in 11 wastewater systems, including Lydd, Quickbourne Lane Northiam, Guestling Green and Wittersham.
New development in the Rother catchment might put additional pressure on internationally designated habitat sites such as Dungeness, Romney Marsh and Rye Bay, so solutions will need to be found to ensure that development is nutrient neutral.
A map of the Rother catchment showing the estimated future growth in each wastewater system is shown below. The technical summary explains how we have considered population growth and urban creep in our DWMP.
(b) Climate change
Climate change will bring greater variability of our weather with warmer wetter winters and hotter drier summers. The impacts we will see will be more intense summer storms that exceed the capacity of the drainage and wastewater networks and cause localised flooding. Hence, the risk of flooding from sewer systems is increasing due to climate change. The technical summary explains how we have considered climate change in our DWMP.
We will work with partner organisations, such as East Sussex County Council and the Environment Agency, who have responsibility for flooding and drainage to consider options and develop opportunities to find solutions that reduce the risks from flooding.
We will need to adapt our wastewater systems to operate in future climates. There will be an increasing need to slow the flow entering our sewer networks so the systems can carry the water without flooding homes and businesses and/or without causing discharges from storm overflows. Preventing additional rainfall entering foul sewer networks, including combined sewer networks where possible, could delay the need to upgrade and enlarge the vast underground network of sewers.
Climate change is expected to have an impact on the risk of flooding in several wastewater systems, especially Tenterden, Rye, Camber, Robertsbridge, Hamstreet, Fairlight and Woodchurch. The flooding risk will increase by 2050 unless measures are taken to manage and reduce these risks. The risk of storm overflow discharges is forecast to increase for several wastewater systems including New Romney and Meres Farm Mayfield although the BRAVA results indicate that 10 systems already have a very significant risk of discharges from storm overflows.
The map below shows the potential impact of climate change, urban creep and growth on the risk of flooding in a 1 in 20 year storm for the wastewater systems. We followed Water UK’s capacity assessment framework to apply a 20% uplift to rainfall forecasts to assess the potential increases in flood volumes shown on the map. The Hythe wastewater system is shaded in red, indicating that over 1000 properties could be at risk from sewer flooding by 2050. The flood volumes in Hythe could increase from 1249m3 in 2020 to 2485m3 by 2050.
Urban creep was estimated using the approach developed by the UK Water Industry Research (UKWIR) report on Urban Creep in sewerage systems (2010).
The map highlights that we will need to adapt to climate change. Adaptation will mean considering long-term sustainable options, such as reducing the volume of rain water entering the sewer network. This approach may provide the capacity within the wastewater system to allow for future growth and therefore reduce both the need for significant increases in the capacity of the existing wastewater systems and reduce discharges from storm overflows.
Investment planning for each wastewater system
We used the BRAVA results and our understanding of the causes of risks and drivers to propose an investment strategy for each of the wastewater systems. Find out more information on how we determined the investment strategies. The strategies help us to target the wastewater systems that need further investment to reduce the potential risks to customers and the environment. We have produced a table that lists the proposed investment strategy for each catchment.
We used a risk based approach to identify the wastewater systems that we need to progress in this first round of DWMPs. For these systems we will develop an investment plan. Our technical summary sets out how we have selected the systems to take forward.
The table below lists the wastewater systems in the Rother river basin catchment that we’re progressing further during this first round of the DWMPs into the investment planning stage. We have included a catchment map and an explanation of the causes of risks for these systems with links in the table below.
The maps and causes of risks for the remaining wastewater systems in the Rother catchment will be published when available.